XRP price sell-off set to accelerate in April as inverse cup and handle hints at 25% decline

XRP (XRP) price has plunged greater than 35% since reaching a multi-year excessive of $3.40 in January — and the downtrend could deepen in April as new bearish indicators emerge.

Let’s look at these catalysts in element.

XRP nears a basic technical breakdown

XRP’s current price motion is flashing a basic bearish reversal sign dubbed “inverse cup and handle formation.”

The inverse cup and handle is a bearish chart sample that indicators fading purchaser momentum after an uptrend. It resembles an upside-down teacup, with the “cup” marking a rounded decline and the “handle” forming after a quick consolidation.

A break under the handle’s assist sometimes confirms the sample, usually main to a drop equal to the cup’s peak.

In XRP’s case, the rounded “cup” topped round March 19 and accomplished its curved decline by the tip of the month. The ongoing sideways price motion between $2.05 and $2.20 kinds the “handle.”

A breakdown under this horizontal consolidation vary might validate the bearish construction, opening the door for a possible transfer towards the $1.58 assist space — as recommended by the measured transfer projection proven on the chart above.

In different phrases, XRP can decline by over 25% in April if the inverse cup and handle setup performs out as meant.

Adding to the sell-off threat is knowledge from the quantity profile seen vary (VPVR) indicator, which exhibits the purpose of management (POC) round $2.10–$2.20 — a key assist zone. A breakdown under this high-volume space might set off a sharper drop, as decrease quantity ranges under have provided little historic assist in current historical past.

Conversely, a robust shut above the 50-period 4-hour EMA (crimson line) close to $2.14 might invalidate the inverse cup-and-handle sample. Such a breakout could shift momentum in favor of the bulls, doubtlessly paving the best way for a rally towards the 200-period 4-hour EMA (blue line) round $2.28.

Related: Investor demand for XRP falls as the bull market stalls — Will merchants defend the $2 assist?

XRP whale circulation level to extra promote strain

As of April 5, CryptoQuant’s 90-day transferring common whale circulation chart was displaying sustained web outflows from XRP’s largest holders since late 2024.

During XRP’s sharp price growth in This autumn 2024, whale exercise flipped deeply unfavorable, indicating massive entities have been distributing into energy and promoting the native tops. The development has continued into 2025, with the full whale circulation remaining firmly under zero.

This divergence between rising costs and declining whale assist suggests weakening institutional conviction and raises considerations over XRP’s near-term price stability except accumulation resumes.

US President Donald Trump’s international tariffs and the Federal Reserve’s barely hawkish response to them have furthered dampened threat sentiment, which can weigh XRP and the broader crypto market down in the approaching quarters.

This article doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Every funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.